Bounds analysis of competing risks: a nonparametric evaluation of the effect of unemployment benefits on migration in Germany


Arntz, Melanie ; Lo, Simon M. S. ; Wilke, Ralf A.


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URL: http://ub-madoc.bib.uni-mannheim.de/1621
URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-16213
Document Type: Working paper
Year of publication: 2007
Publication language: English
Institution: Sonstige Einrichtungen > ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
MADOC publication series: Veröffentlichungen des ZEW (Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung) > ZEW Discussion Papers
Subject: 330 Economics
Classification: JEL: C41 C14 J61 ,
Subject headings (SWD): Arbeitsmobilität , Regionale Mobilität , Arbeitslosigkeit , Arbeitslosenversicherung , Nichtparametrisches Verfahren , Deutschland
Keywords (English): cumulative incidence curve , partially missing data , bounds analysis , difference-in-differences
Abstract: In this paper we derive nonparametric bounds for the cumulative incidence curve within a competing risks model with partly identified interval data. As an advantage over earlier attempts our approach also gives valid results in case of dependent competing risks. We apply our framework to empirically evaluate the effect of unemployment benefits on observed migration of unemployed workers in Germany. Our findings weakly indicate that reducing the entitlement length for unemployment benefits increases migration among high-skilled individuals.
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Arntz, Melanie ; Lo, Simon M. S. ; Wilke, Ralf A. (2007) Bounds analysis of competing risks: a nonparametric evaluation of the effect of unemployment benefits on migration in Germany. Open Access [Working paper]
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