A Bayesian approach to determine the impact of institutions on the unemployment rate


Sachs, Andreas


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URL: http://ub-madoc.bib.uni-mannheim.de/3011
URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-30119
Document Type: Working paper
Year of publication: 2010
The title of a journal, publication series: None
Publication language: English
Institution: Sonstige Einrichtungen > ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
MADOC publication series: Veröffentlichungen des ZEW (Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung) > ZEW Discussion Papers
Subject: 330 Economics
Classification: JEL: C33 E24 E02 ,
Subject headings (SWD): OECD , Arbeitslosigkeit , Arbeitsmarkt , Flexibilisierung , Regulierung , Institutionalismus , Panel , Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie , Schätzung
Keywords (English): Unemployment , institutions , labor and product markets , model averaging
Abstract: Labor and product market regulations affect the unemployment rate of a country without doubt. Econometricians, however, have yet to establish an unequivocal significance of this impact. Model mis-specification, one of the main underlying problems, is overcome by adopting a Bayesian Model Averaging approach. I apply this method to a panel data set that covers 17 OECD countries for the time period from 1982 to 2005 and for up to 20 potential explanatory variables. 8 institutional indicators are identified as significant determinants of unemployment. Endogeneity due to reverse causality is also considered by applying an instrumental variable estimation approach.




Das Dokument wird vom Publikationsserver der Universitätsbibliothek Mannheim bereitgestellt.




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