Socio-economic and demographic factors of crime in Germany: Evidence from panel data of the German States


Entorf, Horst ; Spengler, Hannes


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URL: http://ub-madoc.bib.uni-mannheim.de/672
URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-6727
Document Type: Working paper
Year of publication: 1998
Publication language: English
Institution: Sonstige Einrichtungen > ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
MADOC publication series: Veröffentlichungen des ZEW (Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung) > ZEW Discussion Papers
Subject: 330 Economics
Classification: JEL: J19 K42 ,
Subject headings (SWD): Deutschland , Kriminalität , Jugendarbeitslosigkeit , Wertwandel
Abstract: Our study is based on the traditional Becker-Ehrlich deterrence model, but we analyse the model in the face of currently discussed factors of crime like demographic changes, youth-unemployment and income inequality. We use a panel of the German Laender (states) that allows us to exploit different experiences in densely and sparsely populated areas as well as in East and West Germany. Our results are based on static and dynamic panel econometrics/criminometrics. They confirm the deterrence hypothesis for crime against property. Only weak support can be observed for crime against the person. Economic and demographic factors reveal important and significant influences. Being young and unemployed increases the probability of committing crimes.
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Entorf, Horst ; Spengler, Hannes (1998) Socio-economic and demographic factors of crime in Germany: Evidence from panel data of the German States. Open Access [Working paper]
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