Staggered contracts and unemployment during recessions


Adamopoulou, Effrosyni ; Díez-Catalán, Luis ; Villanueva, Ernesto


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URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-676461
Document Type: Working paper
Year of publication: 2024
The title of a journal, publication series: ZEW Discussion Papers
Volume: 24-029
Place of publication: Mannheim
Publication language: English
Institution: Sonstige Einrichtungen > ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
School of Law and Economics > Sonstige - Fakultät für Rechtswissenschaft und Volkswirtschaftslehre
MADOC publication series: Veröffentlichungen des ZEW (Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung) > ZEW Discussion Papers
Subject: 330 Economics
Classification: JEL: J23 , J31 , J50,
Keywords (English): employment , job separation , collective bargaining , wage rigidity , staggering , social security data
Abstract: This paper studies the impact of downward wage rigidity on wage and employment dynamics after the outbreak of major recessions in Spain. Downward wage rigidity stems from collective agreements, which set province-sector-skill specific minimum wage floors for all workers. By exploiting variation in the renewal of collective contracts, we find that agreements signed before the onset of recessions settle on higher nominal negotiated wage growth than agreements signed after. Leveraging Social Security data and the distribution of the worker-level bite of minimum wage floors, we document that the negotiated wage rigidity translated into higher wage growth mainly among workers with wages close to the floors. Consequently, these workers experienced a substantial and highly persistent increase in the probability of non-employment but only if they were covered by collective agreements of long duration. Our findings highlight the interplay between rigidity at different parts of the wage distribution and labor market institutions and identify conditions under which collective contract staggering and the inability to renegotiate may amplify aggregate shocks.




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