The effect of Airbnb on housing prices: Evidence from the 2017 solar eclipse


Duncan, Denvil ; Ross, Justin


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URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-706941
Document Type: Working paper
Year of publication: 2025
The title of a journal, publication series: ZEW Discussion Papers
Volume: 25-027
Place of publication: Mannheim
Edition: May 20, 2025
Publication language: English
Institution: Sonstige Einrichtungen > ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
MADOC publication series: Veröffentlichungen des ZEW (Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung) > ZEW Discussion Papers
Subject: 330 Economics
Classification: JEL: R29 , R31 , H31,
Keywords (English): Airbnb , housing market , home sharing , digital platform economy , housing price
Abstract: This study estimates the causal impact of Airbnb expansion on local housing prices by exploiting the 2017 total solar eclipse as a natural experiment. The eclipse's path of totality created a exogenous temporary demand for short-term rentals that resulted in a persistent increase in area supply of Airbnb listings. The IV/2SLS results indicate that a one percent increase in Airbnb listings generates a 0.037 to 0.043 percent increase in housing prices, a magnitude consistent with other causal research on this question. However, we provide additional evidence that our result is driven by homeowners' willingness to accept (WTA) due to increased rental income from monetizing excess housing capacity, whereas previous research largely reports estimates that combine this effect with demand-driven displacements of long-term housing supply. These findings suggest that WTA effects play a major role in Airbnb's influence for more efficient utilization of housing as an asset, and that regulations that partially pan investor listings will have muted effects on housing affordability.




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