Conspiracy belief and opposition to wind farms: a longitudinal study


Winter, Kevin ; Pummerer, Lotte ; Oertzen, Timo von ; Hornsey, Matthew J. ; Sassenberg, Kai


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2025.102620
URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/...
URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-713283
Document Type: Article
Year of publication: 2025
The title of a journal, publication series: Journal of Environmental Psychology
Volume: 104
Issue number: Article 102620
Page range: 1-5
Place of publication: Amsterdam [u.a.]
Publishing house: Elsevier
ISSN: 0272-4944
Publication language: English
Institution: School of Social Sciences > Sozialpsychologie und Mikrosoziologie (Stavrova 2025-)
Pre-existing license: Creative Commons Attribution, Non-Commercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)
Subject: 150 Psychology
300 Social sciences, sociology, anthropology
Keywords (English): conspiracy mentality , wind farm opposition , longitudinal study , conspiracy theories
Abstract: The extension of wind energy plays a crucial role in achieving global climate goals. However, wind farms often face opposition by local communities. Recent research found cross-sectional evidence that conspiracy belief is an important predictor of wind farm opposition. The current work extends this finding and sheds light on the temporal relationship between these variables. A preregistered, three-wave study among German adults (N = 297) using Random-Intercept Cross-Lagged Panel analyses found support for our hypothesis that an increase in conspiracy mentality (i.e., the general propensity to believe conspiracy theories) predicts more negative attitudes towards wind farms close to one's hometown four months later. We also found evidence for the opposite direction, namely that an increase in negative attitudes predicts higher conspiracy mentality four months later. Thus, conspiracy belief and wind farm opposition seem to mutually reinforce each other. Interventions and preventive measures should aim to break this vicious cycle that otherwise might curb the progress of the energy transition.




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