Data-inspired modeling of accidents in traffic flow networks


Göttlich, Simone ; Schillinger, Thomas


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.5802/smai-jcm.125
URL: https://smai-jcm.centre-mersenne.org/articles/10.5...
Additional URL: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/390594507...
URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-720618
Document Type: Article
Year of publication: 2025
The title of a journal, publication series: SMAI Journal of Computational Mathematics : SMAI-JCM
Volume: 11
Page range: 261-287
Place of publication: Paris
Publishing house: Société de Mathématiques Appliquées et Industrielles
ISSN: 2426-8399
Publication language: English
Institution: School of Business Informatics and Mathematics > Scientific Computing (Göttlich 2011-)
Pre-existing license: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
Subject: 510 Mathematics
Keywords (English): traffic flow network model , random accidents , Hawkes process , numerical simulations
Abstract: We consider hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs) for a dynamic description of the traffic behavior in road networks. These equations are coupled to a Hawkes process that models traffic accidents taking into account their self-excitation property which means that accidents are more likely in areas in which another accident just occurred. We discuss how both model components interact and influence each other. A data analysis reveals the self-excitation property of accidents and determines further parameters. Numerical simulations using risk measures underline and conclude the discussion of traffic accident effects in our model.




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BASE: Göttlich, Simone ; Schillinger, Thomas

Google Scholar: Göttlich, Simone ; Schillinger, Thomas

ORCID: Göttlich, Simone ORCID: 0000-0002-8512-4525 ; Schillinger, Thomas

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