Modeling preferences using roll call votes in parliamentary systems


Bräuninger, Thomas ; Müller, Jochen ; Stecker, Christian


DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpw006
URL: https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persis...
Document Type: Article
Year of publication: 2016
The title of a journal, publication series: Political Analysis
Volume: 24
Issue number: 2
Page range: 189-210
Place of publication: Oxford
Publishing house: Oxford University Press
ISSN: 1047-1987 ; 1476-4989
Publication language: English
Institution: Außerfakultäre Einrichtungen > Mannheim Centre for European Social Research - Research Department B
School of Social Sciences > Political Economy (Bräuninger)
Subject: 320 Political science
Abstract: Models of ideal point estimation usually build on the assumption of spatial preferences. This ignores legislators’ non-policy incentives and is thus likely to produce implausible results for many legislatures. We study this problem in parliamentary systems and develop a model of roll call voting that considers both the policy and the non-policy, tactical incentives of legislators. We go on to show how the relative weight of these policy and tactical incentives is influenced by the identity of the mover and characteristics of the motion. Analyses of two data sets of 2174 roll call votes in German state legislatures and 3295 roll call votes in the British House of Commons result in three main findings. First, we show that tactical incentives may be more important than policy incentives, and second, that the importance of tactical incentives varies with the importance of motions. Third, there are interesting twists: backbench private members’ bills may reverse tactical incentives whereas proposals from anti-system parties are virtually always rejected by moderate parties, rendering these votes uninformative. Our findings have implications for ideal point estimation in parliamentary systems, as well as for research on separation of power systems.

Dieser Eintrag ist Teil der Universitätsbibliographie.




+ Citation Example and Export

Bräuninger, Thomas ; Müller, Jochen ; Stecker, Christian (2016) Modeling preferences using roll call votes in parliamentary systems. Political Analysis Oxford 24 2 189-210 [Article]


+ Search Authors in

+ Page Views

Hits per month over past year

Detailed information



You have found an error? Please let us know about your desired correction here: E-Mail


Actions (login required)

Show item Show item