Long-term benefits from investing in international real estate


Schindler, Felix


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URL: http://ub-madoc.bib.uni-mannheim.de/2373
URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-23734
Document Type: Working paper
Year of publication: 2009
The title of a journal, publication series: None
Publication language: English
Institution: Sonstige Einrichtungen > ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
MADOC publication series: Veröffentlichungen des ZEW (Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung) > ZEW Discussion Papers
Subject: 330 Economics
Classification: JEL: C22 G11 G14 ,
Subject headings (SWD): Börsenkurs , Immobilienfonds , Immobilienweltmarkt , Securitization , Internationaler Preiszusammenhang , Korrelation , Industriestaaten
Keywords (English): Cointegration , Correlation Analysis , Diversification , Securitized Real Estate Markets
Abstract: This paper analyses long- and short-term co-movements between 14 international real estate stock markets based on bivariate testing for cointegration and correlation analysis. The results indicate that there exist strong long-term relationships within economic and geographical regions, but less long-run linkages between real estate markets in different continents. Thus, investors would benefit from broadening their investment horizon from their domestic continent to Australia, Europe, and Northern America. Furthermore, it is shown that within each region there are one or two key markets influencing neighbouring markets like Australia in the Asia-Pacific region, the U.S. in the Anglo-Saxon area, and France and the Netherlands in the EMU. Therefore it is implied, from an investor’s point of view, that it should be sufficient to focus only on these central markets. With respect to the efficient market hypothesis, the findings by cointegration analysis put some further doubt on its validity for securitized real estate markets.




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