Employment tax credit programs have been repeatedly used during economic
crises, although their usefulness is empirically contestable. The objective of this
paper is to quantify the tax effects of employment tax credit programs. A recent
revision of the German inheritance tax law provides an eminent opportunity to analyze
the effects caused by such a preferential treatment. The tax liability depends
on a company’s future employment expenses. Hence, we use micro-level data of
realized business transfers from the German Inheritance Tax Statistic and combine
them with a simulation of the future development of employment over the relevant
time-horizon. We identify the magnitude of tax reductions granted to business
transfers under a preferential treatment. Further, we demonstrate that these reductions
are considerably larger in times of economic growth. Our findings also
suggest that employment tax credits have pro-cyclical effects and specifically foster
transfers between unrelated parties. Finally, the preferential treatment of business
transfers does not provide incentives to increase employment.
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