Early retirement of employees in demanding jobs: Evidence from a German pension reform


Geyer, Johannes ; Lorenz, Svenja ; Zwick, Thomas ; Bruns, Mona


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URL: https://madoc.bib.uni-mannheim.de/61100
URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-611002
Document Type: Working paper
Year of publication: 2021
The title of a journal, publication series: ZEW Discussion Papers
Volume: 21-082
Place of publication: Mannheim
Publication language: English
Institution: Sonstige Einrichtungen > ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
MADOC publication series: Veröffentlichungen des ZEW (Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung) > ZEW Discussion Papers
Subject: 330 Economics
Classification: JEL: J14 , J18 , J22, J26, H31,
Keywords (English): pension reform , job demand , early retirement , quasi‐experimental variation
Abstract: Early retirement options are usually targeted at employees at risk of not reaching their regular retirement age in employment. An important at‐risk group comprises employees who have worked in demanding jobs for many years. This group may be particularly negatively affected by the abolition of early retirement options. To measure differences in labor market reactions of employees in low‐ and high‐demand jobs, we exploit the quasi‐natural experiment of a cohort‐specific pension reform that increased the early retirement age for women from 60 to 63 years. Based on a large administrative dataset, we use a regression‐discontinuity approach to estimate the labor market reactions. Surprisingly, we find the same relative employment increase of about 25% for treated women who were exposed to low and to high job demand. For older women in demanding jobs, we also do not find substitution effects into unemployment, partial retirement, disability pension, or inactivity. Eligibility for the pension for women required highlabor market attachment; thus, we argue that this eligibility rule induced a positive selection of healthy workers into early retirement.




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