What's on their Mind: Do Exchange Rate Forecasters Stick to Theoretical Models?


Schröder, Michael ; Dornau, Robert


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URL: http://ub-madoc.bib.uni-mannheim.de/643
URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-6434
Document Type: Working paper
Year of publication: 1999
Publication language: English
Institution: Sonstige Einrichtungen > ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
MADOC publication series: Veröffentlichungen des ZEW (Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung) > ZEW Discussion Papers
Subject: 330 Economics
Classification: JEL: F31 C35 ,
Subject headings (SWD): Kreditmarkt , Analyse , Wirtschaftsmodell
Abstract: Do financial market analysts use structural economic models when forecasting exchange rates? This is the leading question analysed in this paper. In contrast to other studies we use expectations data instead of observable variables. Therefore we analyse the implicit structural models forecasters have in mind when forming their exchange rate expectations. The economic exchange rate models included in our study are purchasing power parity, the flexible-price monetary model, the sticky-price monetary model and the Mundell-Fleming model.
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Das Dokument wird vom Publikationsserver der Universitätsbibliothek Mannheim bereitgestellt.




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Schröder, Michael ; Dornau, Robert (1999) What's on their Mind: Do Exchange Rate Forecasters Stick to Theoretical Models? Open Access [Working paper]
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